Germany: 45 funded programmes and a spending curve to 2036
Defence procurement in Germany is run by the Bundesamt für Ausrüstung, Informationstechnik und Nutzung der Bundeswehr (BAAINBw) on behalf of the Federal Ministry of Defence. Dfensio flagged roughly 45 programmes funded individually in the federal defence budget and the Bundeswehr special fund, each with an annual figure and a multi-year spending curve, in one case running to 2036 [1].
The programme list reads as the German order book for the decade: a main ground combat system, a future combat air system, digitalisation of land operations, a heavy infantry weapons carrier, a frigate class and its alternative platform, a wheeled armoured vehicle for the medium forces, the successor to an armoured transport vehicle, ground-based air defence and a combat aircraft acquisition [1]. For a machining shop or an electronics manufacturer, the spending curve says when the production ramp arrives, not merely that it will.
Programmes flagged by Dfensio for 2026-2030
| Programme | Value | Stage | Flagged by Dfensio (date) | Expected contract window |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wheeled armoured vehicle, medium forces | Not published; 222 vehicles for two nations | Contract authorised October 2025; ordered via the multinational procurement organisation | 2 August 2023 | Contracted; production ramp from 2026 |
| Successor to an armoured transport vehicle | Not published | Funded; no contract after 37 months | 2 August 2023 | Open; not yet contracted |
| Frigate alternative platform | Not published | Pre-contract with the shipbuilder, early 2026 | December 2025 | Main contract 2026 |
| Infantry fighting vehicle, option exercise with logistics | Not published | Authorised 24 June 2026 | 18 June 2026 | Contracted mid-2026; logistics cascade follows |
Germany does not publish quantities or unit prices per programme [1].
Land: medium forces, transport vehicle successor and infantry fighting vehicles
The wheeled armoured vehicle for the medium forces is the reference case. Dfensio flagged it on 2 August 2023; the programme received its first appropriation in the 2025 budget, the Bundestag authorised the contract in October 2025 and the multinational procurement organisation ordered 222 vehicles for two nations shortly afterwards [1][2]. Twenty-six months from flag to authorisation, and the production ramp for hull, drivetrain, protection and mission-system suppliers now runs.
The successor to an armoured transport vehicle was flagged on the same day. More than 37 months later no contract has followed [1]. For suppliers that is not a failed programme but an open window: the requirement and the money exist and the industrial team is not yet fixed.
On 24 June 2026 the Bundestag authorised the exercise of an option on an infantry fighting vehicle programme together with its logistics requirement, an amendment to a multinational serial production contract, command radio systems, IT services, containerised workshops, forward-deployed forces support and a corporate shareholding [2]. Dfensio flagged the items on 18 June 2026. The logistics and support tiers of the option are where second-tier suppliers enter next.
Naval, air and air defence: crisis mode and long programmes
The frigate alternative platform shows Germany's crisis mode. It was funded in the adopted 2026 budget, and a pre-contract with the shipbuilder followed roughly two months later [1]. Emergency programmes in Germany contract in two to six months; normal programmes in 24 to 37 months.
Ground-based air defence, the main ground combat system and the future combat air system are funded multi-year programmes whose spending curves date their phase contracts [1]. A combat aircraft acquisition and a digitalisation of land operations programme, the latter covering more than a billion euros of communications equipment, complete the list [1].
Industrial policy that matters to suppliers
Two rules govern entry. First, German primes publish named national supply chains where a local-content obligation requires it, typically for export customers, and do not do so for domestic land programmes. Positioning therefore happens directly with the prime's purchasing organisation, and the useful interval is the two years between a programme's first funding and its contract.
Second, a procurement acceleration act for the Bundeswehr, in force since February 2026 and running to the end of 2035, allows a contracting authority to launch a procedure before financing is secured, removes the suspensive effect of challenges and permits waiving division into lots [3]. For an SME, the waiver of lot division makes a place on a prime's team the realistic route rather than a direct bid. The first funding of a new programme is the moment that matters: later tranches of the same programme move from authorisation to contract within days.
What Dfensio flagged in Germany
- Wheeled armoured vehicle for the medium forces: flagged 2 August 2023, 26.4 months before the contract authorisation of October 2025 [1][2].
- Successor to an armoured transport vehicle: flagged 2 August 2023; window still open after 37 months [1].
- Frigate alternative platform: flagged at funding, two months before the shipbuilder's pre-contract [1].
- Infantry fighting vehicle option and logistics: flagged 18 June 2026, six days before authorisation [2].
- Roughly 45 individually funded programmes with spending curves to 2036 [1].
Dfensio's analysts are available to answer questions on any German programme in this brief. Request a confidential briefing at dfensio.com/contact.
Frequently asked questions
Which German programmes will open to new suppliers before 2028?
The successor to an armoured transport vehicle, funded since 2023 and still uncontracted; the logistics and support tiers of the infantry fighting vehicle option authorised in June 2026; ground-based air defence; and the phase contracts of the main ground combat system and future combat air system [1][2].
How long does a German programme take from first funding to contract?
Normal programmes have taken 24 to 37 months, as the wheeled armoured vehicle did at 26.4 months. Emergency programmes have taken 2 to 6 months, as the frigate alternative platform did. The median across Dfensio's measured German cases is around 18 months [1][2].
Can a supplier find German second-tier subcontracting information?
Not for domestic land systems. German primes publish named national supply chains where a local-content obligation requires it, typically for export customers, and not at home. Entry is negotiated with the prime's purchasing organisation in the interval between first funding and contract.
What does the Bundeswehr procurement acceleration act change?
In force since February 2026 and running to the end of 2035, it allows procedures to launch before financing is secured, removes the suspensive effect of challenges and permits waiving division into lots [3]. Programmes move faster and SMEs enter through primes rather than through separate lots.
Official sources
- Bundeshaushalt digital. Bundesministerium der Finanzen, 2026-09-02
- Haushaltsausschuss des Deutschen Bundestages, 41. Sitzung, 24. Juni 2026. Deutscher Bundestag, 2026-06-18
- Bundesgesetzblatt, official federal law gazette. Bundesanzeiger Verlag / Bundesministerium der Justiz, 2026-09-02
Dfensio's analysts are available to answer questions on any programme mentioned in this article. Request a confidential briefing at dfensio.com/contact.
